Tuesday, September 29, 2015
A radio group that could screw up a three-car funeral
by Don Keith
If you hold stock in Cumulus Media, you have my deepest sympathy. Cumulus is the second largest owner of over-the-air radio stations in the USA. They own some truly legendary stations with call signs like KABC, WABC, WLS and WSM. But last time I checked, their stock, which had been in the $4 range not that long ago, is now less than 75 cents a share. You'd have to sell five shares to afford a latte at Starbucks!
If you dig deeper--and really, before you bought stock in that mess, you should have--you will see that they have taken those great radio stations, and the other 600 or so they own, and run them into the ground. Ratings are down more than 50% on some former market-leading stations. When stock analysts gave them grief a few years ago, they tried to blame their problems on Rush Limbaugh, resulting in them dropping his show at many of their stations. I won't go into the details here but, regardless of how you feel about El Rushbo, he does deliver ratings. And he had no more to do with the problems of the Cloud People than I did. You simply can't continue to grow revenue every quarter by going out and buying another radio group with borrowed money.
No, the company is the textbook example of the "cut your way to prosperity" school of business profitability. They have succeeded in chasing away most of their popular and creative on-air talent and programmers because they did not want to pay them. Instead they have that usual MBA-mentality aversion to "risk" that comes along with having actual, living, breathing humans making local decisions at their radio stations. "Jesus, what if he gets good ratings and leaves us and takes his listeners to the competition? The stock analysts would kill us if that happened! Let's just run music off the computer. It won't leave us when its contract is up."
And their sales philosophy in the face of plunging ratings? Work even harder, make more cold calls, don't waste time putting together a real marketing plan for clients when you could better be in a sales meeting--learning how to make cold calls--or working your way through the Yellow Pages and setting up appointments at every potential advertiser with a phone number. (Don't believe me? I have seen their "weekly sales calendar." Nobody has time to sell or work up an effective ad campaign or follow up with those who do buy a schedule on their air.) And if, despite all this BS, someone actually becomes a star salesperson, he or she has commission cut because the rep is making too much money. And those good accounts developed through hard work and smarts get re-assigned to the constant influx of new salespeople, hired to replace those who go on to sell cars or cemetery plots, so they will at least stay with the station long enough to justify printing their business cards. (I'll avoid my "Glengarry Glen Ross" references here, but they would be totally appropriate.)
I could also go into detail about what the company saw as its savior, a massive branding effort for its country music-formatted stations called NASH-FM. Actually, they had some truly creative and exciting ideas, developed some interesting partnerships, and might have been onto something. But they forgot the most basic thing of all: they did not put compelling content on their radio stations to attract enough listeners to even be aware of what NASH-FM was all about. No, they piped in deejays from New York for morning drivetime, the key daypart on any radio station, and ran most of the rest of the day streaming the same 100 songs over and over. And bragging about how cool and hip NASH-FM was with well-produced drop-ins voiced by smooth announcer-types.
I've said it before and I'll say it again: over-the-air radio will NEVER win the music-streaming battle. That ship has sailed. And they certainly won't unless they offer more between the songs to attract listeners willing to put up with those long, long, long commercial breaks they insist on running so they can tout "Fifty minutes commercial free of the biggest hits of the 80s, 90s and today!" All this is especially true of country music, which is so much a life-style format. You have to have some warmth, humanity, and companionship on the air beyond the songs or people. Your whole station, and especially the personalities who pop up between the music, have to be something with which the country-music lifestyle group will identify. Otherwise, they will simply go to Pandora and listen to the songs there...one after the other. I don't have any evidence of it, but I'd still bet that nobody responsible for the songs played or the personalities that waft in on the satellite to be on the radio in local markets know what the country life-style group is all about in each and every market. Where do those listeners work? What do they drink? Where do they go for live music? What sports teams do they follow? What vehicles do they drive? Which TV shows do they watch? Sorry, it is not the same in Nashville as it is in Birmingham as it is in Dallas as it is in Atlanta as it is in the middle of dadgum New York City!
Well, now there is a new development with Cumulus that caused me to launch this latest rant. Today they announced a shake-up in their top management. The company has been run--and, let's give them credit by admitting they built a huge group of stations by borrowing money like sailors on shore leave and hypnotizing stock analysts with their business-school-speak--by the Dickey brothers, sons of the founder of the company.
That is no longer the case. Desperate times call for desperate measures. They needed someone who can buck the trend, do what it takes, change the culture.
Today, they announced a new CEO, someone who will lead Cumulus back to prosperity. Someone who understands what it will take to save not only the company but commercial radio from the effects of rapid technological change and all that new competition for the ears of America.
Yes, Cumulus went out and hired themselves--well, they didn't exactly "go out" and hire someone because she was already on their board of directors--a new CEO from the world of...you ready for this?...MAGAZINES! Which medium was the first to succumb to technological change, even before newspapers? Magazines.
So they hired Mary Berner as their new CEO. Ms. Berner may well be a fabulous executive and have the skills, smarts, savvy, and creativity to assure that the company comes roaring back. But if you look at her resume, you will see that she not only worked in this dying industry, she last ran their trade organization, the Association of Magazine Media. The outfit that was supposed to help fight back against all the new media that has made the print industry a shadow of its former self.
Not only that but she worked for Readers Digest, a magazine made up of articles culled from other magazines! And TV Guide, which swam against the rip current of technology until it ultimately drowned. But she did work at one example of the technological revolution, the cutting-edge web site recipesnow.com.
Why am I so cynical and bitter about The Cloud People and what they are doing to my favorite medium? Three reasons.
First, at a time when radio most needs strong, dynamic and creative leadership, these folks are cutting, slashing, firing, threatening, and conniving to stay afloat, not by doing something on the air to attract listeners and sell product for advertisers but to keep the stock price up and continue to grow revenue by borrowing money and printing more stock certificates so they can buy more stations, not by doing a good job running the ones they own already. In my opinion, they are killing radio and that makes me mad as hell! It is a tough enough challenge if everybody was doing things right. When the second biggest owner of stations does everything wrong, it does not bode well for over-the-air broadcasting.
Second, I know too many good folks who still work for these guys and are being hurt. There is something magical about working for a great radio station but these dedicated people will never know that feeling again. They stay because they love radio or because they've been there for most of their careers or because the other radio operators are only slightly better, so where do they ply their trade if they jump ship?
And third, because I don't think it has to be this way. Back in the '90s, I had the pleasure of visiting Lew Dickey Sr. in his home in West Palm Beach. He, like many owner-operators before the FCC messed with the ownership rules in 1995, had started a radio group on a shoestring. He did everything in his stations, on the air, selling commercials, engineering, sweeping the floors and mowing the grass around the towers. He understood the one-to-one relationship between on-air personality and listener, between sales rep and advertiser. Though he had just started building his group, and was seeing considerable success, I got the idea he was not totally sold on how things were changing.
We had a good chat about the medium, the business, and where it was going. I believe that with some of the things he said and much more he only hinted at that Mr. Dickey knew very well that things were not necessarily playing out the way many of us thought they would. And especially those of us who believed the change in ownership rules that allowed the creation of these mega-group owners was a good thing. He died several years ago but I really would have enjoyed rekindling that conversation and seeing if he would discuss what has happened in the meantime to the medium he and I love so much.
I doubt he would have gone so far as to comment on the part his sons have played. He did not seem to be that kind of gentleman. But he had to know it wasn't right. Had to know cutting the heart and soul out of broadcast radio was not the path to success or the way to save a threatened medium.
He had to know that when you take the warmth and companionship and one-to-one out of the most one-to-one mass medium we have, you take away all its power. All its magic.
If you hold stock in Cumulus Media, you have my deepest sympathy. Cumulus is the second largest owner of over-the-air radio stations in the USA. They own some truly legendary stations with call signs like KABC, WABC, WLS and WSM. But last time I checked, their stock, which had been in the $4 range not that long ago, is now less than 75 cents a share. You'd have to sell five shares to afford a latte at Starbucks!
If you dig deeper--and really, before you bought stock in that mess, you should have--you will see that they have taken those great radio stations, and the other 600 or so they own, and run them into the ground. Ratings are down more than 50% on some former market-leading stations. When stock analysts gave them grief a few years ago, they tried to blame their problems on Rush Limbaugh, resulting in them dropping his show at many of their stations. I won't go into the details here but, regardless of how you feel about El Rushbo, he does deliver ratings. And he had no more to do with the problems of the Cloud People than I did. You simply can't continue to grow revenue every quarter by going out and buying another radio group with borrowed money.
No, the company is the textbook example of the "cut your way to prosperity" school of business profitability. They have succeeded in chasing away most of their popular and creative on-air talent and programmers because they did not want to pay them. Instead they have that usual MBA-mentality aversion to "risk" that comes along with having actual, living, breathing humans making local decisions at their radio stations. "Jesus, what if he gets good ratings and leaves us and takes his listeners to the competition? The stock analysts would kill us if that happened! Let's just run music off the computer. It won't leave us when its contract is up."
And their sales philosophy in the face of plunging ratings? Work even harder, make more cold calls, don't waste time putting together a real marketing plan for clients when you could better be in a sales meeting--learning how to make cold calls--or working your way through the Yellow Pages and setting up appointments at every potential advertiser with a phone number. (Don't believe me? I have seen their "weekly sales calendar." Nobody has time to sell or work up an effective ad campaign or follow up with those who do buy a schedule on their air.) And if, despite all this BS, someone actually becomes a star salesperson, he or she has commission cut because the rep is making too much money. And those good accounts developed through hard work and smarts get re-assigned to the constant influx of new salespeople, hired to replace those who go on to sell cars or cemetery plots, so they will at least stay with the station long enough to justify printing their business cards. (I'll avoid my "Glengarry Glen Ross" references here, but they would be totally appropriate.)
I could also go into detail about what the company saw as its savior, a massive branding effort for its country music-formatted stations called NASH-FM. Actually, they had some truly creative and exciting ideas, developed some interesting partnerships, and might have been onto something. But they forgot the most basic thing of all: they did not put compelling content on their radio stations to attract enough listeners to even be aware of what NASH-FM was all about. No, they piped in deejays from New York for morning drivetime, the key daypart on any radio station, and ran most of the rest of the day streaming the same 100 songs over and over. And bragging about how cool and hip NASH-FM was with well-produced drop-ins voiced by smooth announcer-types.
I've said it before and I'll say it again: over-the-air radio will NEVER win the music-streaming battle. That ship has sailed. And they certainly won't unless they offer more between the songs to attract listeners willing to put up with those long, long, long commercial breaks they insist on running so they can tout "Fifty minutes commercial free of the biggest hits of the 80s, 90s and today!" All this is especially true of country music, which is so much a life-style format. You have to have some warmth, humanity, and companionship on the air beyond the songs or people. Your whole station, and especially the personalities who pop up between the music, have to be something with which the country-music lifestyle group will identify. Otherwise, they will simply go to Pandora and listen to the songs there...one after the other. I don't have any evidence of it, but I'd still bet that nobody responsible for the songs played or the personalities that waft in on the satellite to be on the radio in local markets know what the country life-style group is all about in each and every market. Where do those listeners work? What do they drink? Where do they go for live music? What sports teams do they follow? What vehicles do they drive? Which TV shows do they watch? Sorry, it is not the same in Nashville as it is in Birmingham as it is in Dallas as it is in Atlanta as it is in the middle of dadgum New York City!
Well, now there is a new development with Cumulus that caused me to launch this latest rant. Today they announced a shake-up in their top management. The company has been run--and, let's give them credit by admitting they built a huge group of stations by borrowing money like sailors on shore leave and hypnotizing stock analysts with their business-school-speak--by the Dickey brothers, sons of the founder of the company.
That is no longer the case. Desperate times call for desperate measures. They needed someone who can buck the trend, do what it takes, change the culture.
Today, they announced a new CEO, someone who will lead Cumulus back to prosperity. Someone who understands what it will take to save not only the company but commercial radio from the effects of rapid technological change and all that new competition for the ears of America.
Yes, Cumulus went out and hired themselves--well, they didn't exactly "go out" and hire someone because she was already on their board of directors--a new CEO from the world of...you ready for this?...MAGAZINES! Which medium was the first to succumb to technological change, even before newspapers? Magazines.
So they hired Mary Berner as their new CEO. Ms. Berner may well be a fabulous executive and have the skills, smarts, savvy, and creativity to assure that the company comes roaring back. But if you look at her resume, you will see that she not only worked in this dying industry, she last ran their trade organization, the Association of Magazine Media. The outfit that was supposed to help fight back against all the new media that has made the print industry a shadow of its former self.
Not only that but she worked for Readers Digest, a magazine made up of articles culled from other magazines! And TV Guide, which swam against the rip current of technology until it ultimately drowned. But she did work at one example of the technological revolution, the cutting-edge web site recipesnow.com.
Why am I so cynical and bitter about The Cloud People and what they are doing to my favorite medium? Three reasons.
First, at a time when radio most needs strong, dynamic and creative leadership, these folks are cutting, slashing, firing, threatening, and conniving to stay afloat, not by doing something on the air to attract listeners and sell product for advertisers but to keep the stock price up and continue to grow revenue by borrowing money and printing more stock certificates so they can buy more stations, not by doing a good job running the ones they own already. In my opinion, they are killing radio and that makes me mad as hell! It is a tough enough challenge if everybody was doing things right. When the second biggest owner of stations does everything wrong, it does not bode well for over-the-air broadcasting.
Second, I know too many good folks who still work for these guys and are being hurt. There is something magical about working for a great radio station but these dedicated people will never know that feeling again. They stay because they love radio or because they've been there for most of their careers or because the other radio operators are only slightly better, so where do they ply their trade if they jump ship?
And third, because I don't think it has to be this way. Back in the '90s, I had the pleasure of visiting Lew Dickey Sr. in his home in West Palm Beach. He, like many owner-operators before the FCC messed with the ownership rules in 1995, had started a radio group on a shoestring. He did everything in his stations, on the air, selling commercials, engineering, sweeping the floors and mowing the grass around the towers. He understood the one-to-one relationship between on-air personality and listener, between sales rep and advertiser. Though he had just started building his group, and was seeing considerable success, I got the idea he was not totally sold on how things were changing.
We had a good chat about the medium, the business, and where it was going. I believe that with some of the things he said and much more he only hinted at that Mr. Dickey knew very well that things were not necessarily playing out the way many of us thought they would. And especially those of us who believed the change in ownership rules that allowed the creation of these mega-group owners was a good thing. He died several years ago but I really would have enjoyed rekindling that conversation and seeing if he would discuss what has happened in the meantime to the medium he and I love so much.
I doubt he would have gone so far as to comment on the part his sons have played. He did not seem to be that kind of gentleman. But he had to know it wasn't right. Had to know cutting the heart and soul out of broadcast radio was not the path to success or the way to save a threatened medium.
He had to know that when you take the warmth and companionship and one-to-one out of the most one-to-one mass medium we have, you take away all its power. All its magic.
Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Unexpected answers from folks who should know
by Don Keith N4KC
So a publication called MediaLife Magazine did a survey and asked the question "What do you think is the biggest problem for radio today?" Understand that MediaLife Magazine is targeted at media buyers and planners, the folks that actually do the work at advertising agencies of deciding on which media they will buy commercials and how much they will pay for them. And when they say "radio," they are talking about commercial radio broadcasting, not ham radio or shortwave broadcasting or any of the goofy Internet "radio" that is suddenly so commonplace.
With that understood, most of us would assume that these buyers and planners would say, "Radio is too expensive," or "Radio is too hard to buy in order to get the best exposure for my clients," or "Radio sales reps are woefully inadequate and poorly trained." No, they don't say that at all. Well, they do say that in some numbers and all three are absolutely true, but the largest vote-getters are the very ones I have noted in this blog.
In fact, they sound like most of the rest of us who might express an opinion about the state of radio, from the guys in the carpool to individual advertisers who might use radio far more if it seemed truly interested in helping local merchants succeed. Over half--51%--say radio's biggest problem is the concentration of ownership in the hands of a very few giant companies. And they believe that is also the over-arching reason for some of the other problems they think are the major ones facing radio:
#2 Decline of local radio and its community involvement 49%
#3 Ad clutter 45%
#4 Lack of innovation 41%
Of course, they also threw in one not-so-surprising one, too: competition from digital players like Pandora, at 47%. Lack of compelling content (same old music and talk) also was a strong one at 35%.
See, media buyers and planners are not just interested in making the math work when it comes to buying ads on radio. Sure they want to reach the most human beings in their target as often and inexpensively as they can. But they also want whatever campaign they are supporting to be successful, too. They really need those "numbers" they buy to represent excited, motivated customers for their clients' products or services.
Dull, boring, background content with long, tune-out-encouraging commercial breaks don't make people rush out and buy beer, fast food or cars. And when folks are not buying what an agency's clients are selling, agencies get fired and companies go broke.
(See the story and complete results of the survey HERE.)
So a publication called MediaLife Magazine did a survey and asked the question "What do you think is the biggest problem for radio today?" Understand that MediaLife Magazine is targeted at media buyers and planners, the folks that actually do the work at advertising agencies of deciding on which media they will buy commercials and how much they will pay for them. And when they say "radio," they are talking about commercial radio broadcasting, not ham radio or shortwave broadcasting or any of the goofy Internet "radio" that is suddenly so commonplace.
In fact, they sound like most of the rest of us who might express an opinion about the state of radio, from the guys in the carpool to individual advertisers who might use radio far more if it seemed truly interested in helping local merchants succeed. Over half--51%--say radio's biggest problem is the concentration of ownership in the hands of a very few giant companies. And they believe that is also the over-arching reason for some of the other problems they think are the major ones facing radio:
#2 Decline of local radio and its community involvement 49%
#3 Ad clutter 45%
#4 Lack of innovation 41%
Of course, they also threw in one not-so-surprising one, too: competition from digital players like Pandora, at 47%. Lack of compelling content (same old music and talk) also was a strong one at 35%.
See, media buyers and planners are not just interested in making the math work when it comes to buying ads on radio. Sure they want to reach the most human beings in their target as often and inexpensively as they can. But they also want whatever campaign they are supporting to be successful, too. They really need those "numbers" they buy to represent excited, motivated customers for their clients' products or services.
Dull, boring, background content with long, tune-out-encouraging commercial breaks don't make people rush out and buy beer, fast food or cars. And when folks are not buying what an agency's clients are selling, agencies get fired and companies go broke.
(See the story and complete results of the survey HERE.)
Friday, August 7, 2015
Your blogger featured in Amateur Radio Newsline
by Don Keith N4KC
Thanks to Cheryl K9BIK for the great interview with me in this week's AMATEUR RADIO NEWSLINE, Report #1971, dated August 7, 2015. The interview talks about the real or perceived obstacles some people encounter getting started in ham radio as well as about my two new books that have just been published.
Hear the interview here: Don Keith N4KC ARN interview audio.
Part one of the interview is contained in this report and the second part airs in the next edition, dated August 14, 2015.
Cheryl, Don Wilbanks AE5DW, and others have done a wonderful job of keeping this audio news service for amateur radio operators going after the recent untimely death of its founder, Bill Pasternak WA6ITF. And I say that not just because they did a two-part interview with me. The news roundup is a wonderful service for hams and others interested in our hobby.
Thanks to Cheryl K9BIK for the great interview with me in this week's AMATEUR RADIO NEWSLINE, Report #1971, dated August 7, 2015. The interview talks about the real or perceived obstacles some people encounter getting started in ham radio as well as about my two new books that have just been published.
Hear the interview here: Don Keith N4KC ARN interview audio.
Part one of the interview is contained in this report and the second part airs in the next edition, dated August 14, 2015.
Cheryl, Don Wilbanks AE5DW, and others have done a wonderful job of keeping this audio news service for amateur radio operators going after the recent untimely death of its founder, Bill Pasternak WA6ITF. And I say that not just because they did a two-part interview with me. The news roundup is a wonderful service for hams and others interested in our hobby.
Tuesday, August 4, 2015
Grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr!
by Don Keith N4KC
Here we go again. One of the over-the-air-radio trade publications has yet another (with apologies to Ray Stevens) "Everything is Beautiful" article. Those who follow this blog know that I--a former broadcaster, audience researcher, and station owner--believe that traditional over-the-air radio is in serious trouble, partly because of rapid technological change that has altered how people get music and news, but also because big radio owners believe they can cut their way to prosperity, or at least to some kind of good news to tell analysts and institutional stockholders so they continue to buy their stock. And do it while not giving potential listeners compelling content that will keep them listening. And buying what their sponsors are selling.
So here is the latest pronouncement that makes me red in the face as I go, "Grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr!" Under the headline "Radio's Reach Hits an All-time High," INSIDE RADIO proclaims:
Radio’s national audience hit an all-time high for the second year in a row in the second quarter. Some 245 million Americans age 12 and older used radio in a given week during the three months ending June 30, according to Nielsen’s Audio Today report.
Yippee! Doomsayers such as yours truly are certainly wrong. More people listened to radio for at least five minutes in a week in Q2 2015 than ever before! Hurray and hosannah! Maybe people are not tuning away to all those other audio sources out there, talking and texting on their smart phones instead of listening to "the best of the 80s, 90s and today with fewer commercials on Power 99.5," or simply turning off their radios and watching more video.
Of course, I bet if we had data to prove it, we would also learn that more people changed the oil in their lawnmowers, jaywalked, blew their noses, bought a six-pack of beer, or went to sleep in their recliners watching YouTube.
That's because there are MORE PEOPLE. Millions more people than there has ever been in the USA. Certainly millions more in Q2 2015 than in Q2 2014. Census estimates say we gain about 2.5 million people every year. We have over 321 million now that we know about, not counting quite a few who are illegal so don't get counted...except by Nielsen.
If fewer people year-over-year listened to radio for at least five minutes in a statistical week, I'd say that would be catastrophic. But ballyhooing the fact that more folks spent at least five minutes with over-the-air radio is nothing to crow about either.
Here we go again. One of the over-the-air-radio trade publications has yet another (with apologies to Ray Stevens) "Everything is Beautiful" article. Those who follow this blog know that I--a former broadcaster, audience researcher, and station owner--believe that traditional over-the-air radio is in serious trouble, partly because of rapid technological change that has altered how people get music and news, but also because big radio owners believe they can cut their way to prosperity, or at least to some kind of good news to tell analysts and institutional stockholders so they continue to buy their stock. And do it while not giving potential listeners compelling content that will keep them listening. And buying what their sponsors are selling.
So here is the latest pronouncement that makes me red in the face as I go, "Grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr!" Under the headline "Radio's Reach Hits an All-time High," INSIDE RADIO proclaims:
Radio’s national audience hit an all-time high for the second year in a row in the second quarter. Some 245 million Americans age 12 and older used radio in a given week during the three months ending June 30, according to Nielsen’s Audio Today report.
Yippee! Doomsayers such as yours truly are certainly wrong. More people listened to radio for at least five minutes in a week in Q2 2015 than ever before! Hurray and hosannah! Maybe people are not tuning away to all those other audio sources out there, talking and texting on their smart phones instead of listening to "the best of the 80s, 90s and today with fewer commercials on Power 99.5," or simply turning off their radios and watching more video.
Of course, I bet if we had data to prove it, we would also learn that more people changed the oil in their lawnmowers, jaywalked, blew their noses, bought a six-pack of beer, or went to sleep in their recliners watching YouTube.
That's because there are MORE PEOPLE. Millions more people than there has ever been in the USA. Certainly millions more in Q2 2015 than in Q2 2014. Census estimates say we gain about 2.5 million people every year. We have over 321 million now that we know about, not counting quite a few who are illegal so don't get counted...except by Nielsen.
If fewer people year-over-year listened to radio for at least five minutes in a statistical week, I'd say that would be catastrophic. But ballyhooing the fact that more folks spent at least five minutes with over-the-air radio is nothing to crow about either.
Tuesday, July 28, 2015
Statistical smoke and mirrors
by Don Keith
Look, I am not necessarily picking on the radio industry trade Inside Radio again. Or my old friend, Pierre Bouvard, who is quoted in an article in today's email/website edition of the pub. But somebody needs to once again question their incessant attempts to find blue sky while ignoring the falling sky in the biz of commercial, over-the-air radio.
Look, I am not necessarily picking on the radio industry trade Inside Radio again. Or my old friend, Pierre Bouvard, who is quoted in an article in today's email/website edition of the pub. But somebody needs to once again question their incessant attempts to find blue sky while ignoring the falling sky in the biz of commercial, over-the-air radio.
Ratings: Radio Stable, While TV Stumbles the headline proclaims. "Stable" based on an analysis of Nielsen ratings for both TV and radio by some outfit called MoffettNathanson. Other than wondering if the space bar is broken on their keyboard, I also have to wonder exactly how they come to that conclusion when comparing two entirely different media with drastically different methodology employed to measure viewership/listenership.
See, Nielsen measures much of the other sources of video that compete directly with over-the-air TV. Things like cable, satellite TV, and the like. They don't measure most of the stuff that is pulling precious ears away from Rock 107. Not Pandora, iTunes, or similar.
Notice, too, that the article uses millions of people to show TV's gargantuan loss to non-broadcast sources while employing rating points for radio's almost infinitesimal drop year-over-year. Frankly, I don't know how many actual listeners radio lost because I don't know how many listeners there are in Nielsen's 48 markets in which the PPM device is used. Nor does the article tell us what demographics were down in radio as they did when crowing about TV's landslide.
"Radio suffered no such tumble," they note. OK, broadcast TV lost 600,000 viewers aged 18 to 49. How many million did broadcast radio lose in that same age group?
Another article in the same day's email digest is a bit sobering, too. The typical (median) over-the-air radio station--including all those that boast of being all-news or news/talk--has a news staff of...ready for it...one! One person! One human being! The average of all stations has ONE person on its news staff. And the study quoted notes that in almost 30% of stations that have a position with the title "news director" the job is not even full-time.
Guess why fewer and fewer people depend on local radio to keep them up to date on breaking news. The medium has gleefully cut staff and is more than happy to allow local TV and web entities with their news apps (along with Twitter and other social media) to have those potential listeners...on a sliver platter.
Shut up and play the hits!
Wednesday, July 22, 2015
Jargon: the great discourager
by Don Keith
Do you ever wonder how many people decide not to not pursue new technology, a different pastime, or other avenue of interest simply because they are stymied by the unique language that has developed around those areas? Whether on purpose (to block others from entering the "fraternity") or accidentally (just because the newly-developed area is complicated), I firmly believe the jargon that develops among "insiders" is a top deterrent to those who might otherwise adopt or enter. In too many cases, that is a loss not only for them but for those who are already a member of the particular technological brotherhood.
Prime example: my chosen hobby of Amateur Radio. Not only has technology evolved in the avocation since it started 100 years ago, creating a brick wall of terminology, but those who have joined the ranks along the way also developed their own gobbledygook, just as most areas of human endeavor do. It's inevitable. Ever listened to a couple of fishermen talk? Or folks devoted to golf? It is a foreign language! And a tough one for the newcomer to adopt. Maybe so tough the potential entrant says, "No, thanks!"
I'm convinced that is one of the reasons many hesitate to jump into a hobby in which they would almost certainly find a great deal of satisfaction and opportunity to learn. Maybe prepare for a new and exciting career in a related field or simply learn to be a better communicator, a skill that is invaluable in any job or just in life in general.
And it is also why I have written two new books to help them overcome that perceived obstacle...among others. Still, even I was amazed at how many terms I collected as I compiled one of them, THE Amateur Radio Dictionary. And equally amazed that nobody had attempted something on this scale before. Yes, there are some simple, incomplete or poorly-written Amateur Radio glossaries on the Internet. There are also quite a few electronic dictionaries, but they have far more info than the average new Ham would ever need or the definitions are way too complicated. Or they are written very badly.
By the time I was ready to publish the first edition of the dictionary, I had collected over 1200 terms and more than 1600 definitions. Even though I have been a licensed and active Amateur Radio operator for more than 50 years, I ran across quite a few terms with which I was not familiar and others whose definitions were not clear to me. Now, I am confidently marketing the book as the most complete glossary of Ham Radio terms ever compiled. I believe I am safe in that claim. And in using all caps for "THE" in the title.

The other new book, Get on the Air...NOW!, deals not only with overcoming the jargon but also the other discouraging things a newly-licensed Ham might encounter as he takes up the hobby. Things like putting together a station that will give a reasonably good on-the-air experience. Erecting antennas that will actually work but not cause the neighbor's garage door to go up and down like the dang thing is on crack. Or knowing what to say and how to say it in that first on-air contact.
Again, I see these initial complications as a deterrent to so many who would truly enjoy the hobby if they could only get past those initial hurdles. Even if they are not nearly so daunting as many imagine them to be. (Note that I handled the jargon part in the second book by including the complete text of THE Amateur Radio Dictionary as part of the Get on the Air...NOW! book...at no additional charge.)
Now if I could just get somebody to do a book on the convoluted verbiage encountered when one tries to set up a home computer network or figure out how to build a web page that doesn't make a smart phone go into hiding. Or become a scratch golfer or catch enough fish for supper.
Do you ever wonder how many people decide not to not pursue new technology, a different pastime, or other avenue of interest simply because they are stymied by the unique language that has developed around those areas? Whether on purpose (to block others from entering the "fraternity") or accidentally (just because the newly-developed area is complicated), I firmly believe the jargon that develops among "insiders" is a top deterrent to those who might otherwise adopt or enter. In too many cases, that is a loss not only for them but for those who are already a member of the particular technological brotherhood.
Prime example: my chosen hobby of Amateur Radio. Not only has technology evolved in the avocation since it started 100 years ago, creating a brick wall of terminology, but those who have joined the ranks along the way also developed their own gobbledygook, just as most areas of human endeavor do. It's inevitable. Ever listened to a couple of fishermen talk? Or folks devoted to golf? It is a foreign language! And a tough one for the newcomer to adopt. Maybe so tough the potential entrant says, "No, thanks!"
I'm convinced that is one of the reasons many hesitate to jump into a hobby in which they would almost certainly find a great deal of satisfaction and opportunity to learn. Maybe prepare for a new and exciting career in a related field or simply learn to be a better communicator, a skill that is invaluable in any job or just in life in general. And it is also why I have written two new books to help them overcome that perceived obstacle...among others. Still, even I was amazed at how many terms I collected as I compiled one of them, THE Amateur Radio Dictionary. And equally amazed that nobody had attempted something on this scale before. Yes, there are some simple, incomplete or poorly-written Amateur Radio glossaries on the Internet. There are also quite a few electronic dictionaries, but they have far more info than the average new Ham would ever need or the definitions are way too complicated. Or they are written very badly.
By the time I was ready to publish the first edition of the dictionary, I had collected over 1200 terms and more than 1600 definitions. Even though I have been a licensed and active Amateur Radio operator for more than 50 years, I ran across quite a few terms with which I was not familiar and others whose definitions were not clear to me. Now, I am confidently marketing the book as the most complete glossary of Ham Radio terms ever compiled. I believe I am safe in that claim. And in using all caps for "THE" in the title.

The other new book, Get on the Air...NOW!, deals not only with overcoming the jargon but also the other discouraging things a newly-licensed Ham might encounter as he takes up the hobby. Things like putting together a station that will give a reasonably good on-the-air experience. Erecting antennas that will actually work but not cause the neighbor's garage door to go up and down like the dang thing is on crack. Or knowing what to say and how to say it in that first on-air contact.
Again, I see these initial complications as a deterrent to so many who would truly enjoy the hobby if they could only get past those initial hurdles. Even if they are not nearly so daunting as many imagine them to be. (Note that I handled the jargon part in the second book by including the complete text of THE Amateur Radio Dictionary as part of the Get on the Air...NOW! book...at no additional charge.)
Now if I could just get somebody to do a book on the convoluted verbiage encountered when one tries to set up a home computer network or figure out how to build a web page that doesn't make a smart phone go into hiding. Or become a scratch golfer or catch enough fish for supper.
Sunday, June 14, 2015
Will Apple "Beats" Pandora, Spotify and the Rest?
by Don Keith N4KC
Yessir, the landscape of how people listen to music has just been altered...again. It's a real skyscraper this time. One that has been around a while, that already changed everything a couple of times before. It's Apple. Uncharacteristically late to the party, Apple has finally unveiled their streaming music service with the clever title of...ready?
Apple Music. But why? As mentioned in my last post, the services that everyone assumes are doing wonderfully well are not exactly setting the woods afire, though they have made lots of impact on your granddaddy's way of hearing music, the totally ancient over-the-air broadcast radio. Google is in the mix, too, and they are a pretty big company with which to contend, wouldn't you say?So why is Apple jumping into the fray to allow people to listen to music on their little hand-held telephones? Is there pent-up demand for such a thing? Are the masses clamoring for a music source that is not currently available to them from multiple streamers? Will millions of people be willing to pop $9.99 a month onto their credit cards just because Apple is in the (rather bland) name of this new service?
I say no. Nor can I see anything so far that differentiates Apple Music from anyone else spitting out a continual stream of songs. Oh, there is one thing. They will have live deejays who are supposedly curating the music...working their butts off, finding songs YOU want to hear, including new music they believe you NEED to hear. And according to the video, the whole idea is for that music to be consumed by masses of people who react emotionally to the songs and to the deejays playing them...playing them just for all those folks out there listening to them at that very moment.
Wait. Isn't that RADIO? Damn straight it is. Or was. Have we, with the help of the geniuses in Cupertino, now done a complete 180? Your typical radio station with a tower on the hill and a colorful logo and cluttered web site is now streaming music--over the air with 100,000 watts of hit power!- and removing such "negatives" as personalities and songs that don't "test well" because they are too new or too creative for the good of the listener. And Apple Music--basically a streaming web site--is differentiating itself by adding live personalities, new songs they think you would like (though they still use some of the same algorithms to build individual "playlists" based on your choices, just as the other guys do), and some warmth and humanity that the computers at Pandora and Spotify cannot do.
Or, apparently, your local radio station either. Even though the guys with the tower and transmitter are in prime position to know YOU, who you are and what you and your neighbors want to hear. But that is a familiar rant that I won't get into today.
So can Apple sell this concept? Is the Apple name big enough to convince you that their magic touch can inject some life into spitting out one song after another. And why are they doing this now?
Cynics say they have to, but may have already fumbled the ball. Phones dominate their massive profits now. iTunes is way, way down. If Apple Music can make iPhones even more in demand then it is a good thing. If they successfully use those live deejays to tell you about all the other wonderful things Apple is doing for YOU at $795 retail for a telephone, then it may be a good idea for them. If they can justify the billions they spent to buy Beats by using the technology to extend listening beyond the phones instead of just using the name for their "station." At the worst, if it loses them a billion or two, nobody but the accountants will notice.
Is it a win for music lovers? For artists and songwriters? For the music industry? Maybe. We'll see, won't we?
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