Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Things that are going bye-bye

Got an interesting email today, talking about all the things we take for granted--things most of us assume will always be with us--that will soon be gone, ready or not.  I disagree with a couple of them.  But as change inevitably erases the un-erasable, look for many of these things to soon be gone bye-bye:
  • The Post Office.  (Saw one of the USPS's top bureaucrats on TV the other day justifying his archaic department by talking about how mail carriers check on the elderly and report fires and crime.  Sigh.)
  • The check.  I could add cash money, too.  Both rapidly going away, replaced by plastic and cyber-money.
  • The newspaper.  I've talked about that here before.  No more ink on your hands. News that is 24 hours old?  How twentieth century!
  • The book.  I'm not convinced that the traditional paper book is gone just yet.  Other ways to read?  Sure, and as an author, anything that encourages people to read and makes it easier for them to buy "books" is fine with me.  But I still think enough people like the feel, portability, and ease of use so that they'll still have to print and bind them for a while yet.
  • Land line telephone.  A given.  When cell service is good enough at my house, bye-bye land line.
  • Music.  (?)  The writer says that since nobody exposes good, new music, the entire genre is self-destructing.  I think new ways of exposing are emerging.  Exciting days are coming.
  • Television.  Yes, for over-the-air or cable, and for the big four networks.  No for video.  Our grandkids will not know the difference.  TV is moving pictures on a screen of some kind.  Moving pictures are moving pictures, whether it comes from a tower on a hill or via wireless.
  • Computers with hard drives and data stored on CDs/DVDs.  It's all going to the "cloud."  Everything you would normally keep on your machine will reside out there in the ether somewhere...software, data, pictures.  And you will use myriad devices to access it, not just a desktop computer.
  • Privacy.  'Nuff said.

Don Keith N4KC


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recumbent conspiracy theorist said...

Hi Don,
Nice post and thought provoking as usual. The post office is the sad one. I like to send out a qsl card after I have a nice chat on the amateur radio. It will be sad to see that tradition go away. But on the bright side we won't have to deal with those annoying mailers that will blow all over the yard if you don't hold on on tight coming back from the mailbox.
I think we will always have removable data storage devices. I have a bunch of memory cards and usb drives that I use to transfer photos and files and stuff between home and work. The devices will just continue to become smaller with ever greater capacity.
Interesting stuff.
-mike kd8jhj

Anonymous said...

Heck, Mike, I still have both size diskettes and a bunch of Zip disks! People ask me all the time where my briefcase is and I show them the little leather-bound thumb drive that goes with me everywhere. But even ten years ago, when I was in the software biz, we were exploring ways to put our apps and data on the web so we could do instant updates. The pipes are finally big enough...and getting bigger all the time. What's Moore's Law? Data storage devices double capacity every three years? Wait until we are doing it all from smart phones, netbooks, or something even simpler...and all via RF! And on "the cloud."

Thanks for stopping by and posting.


Don N4KC